Prediction Markets 101

Prediction Markets 101

Length of Course:  15 min
Platform:  Accessible from any device with seamless progress tracking
    Course Outline

This course is an introduction to U.S. prediction markets that allow participants to trade contracts tied to real-world outcomes such as elections, sporting events, and economic indicators. Understanding how these markets operate helps ensure participants engage with integrity, fairness, and in compliance with applicable laws and regulations. This course covers the foundational mechanics of how prediction markets and event contracts work, the legal and regulatory framework governing them, and the standards of conduct expected of all participants — including the serious consequences of market manipulation and misuse of nonpublic information.

Learning Objectives

  • Explain how prediction markets and event contracts are structured, priced, and settled.
  • Distinguish prediction markets from traditional sports wagering and futures markets.
  • Identify the U.S. legal and regulatory framework governing prediction market participation.
  • Recognize Material Nonpublic Information (MNPI) and prohibited market manipulation.
  • Describe the three-tier enforcement structure and consequences for misconduct.
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